We’re heading into a jam-packed weekend of soccer and we have a few intriguing matchups before the international break. Let’s waste no time and dive right into my top three picks and analysis for matchday four.
Soccer Betting Record 2023-2024: 7-7 (-2.25 units)
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Premier League Matchday 4 Preview & Best Bets (2023)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook
Liverpool (-150) vs. Aston Villa (+350), DRAW (+360) | 3.5 (+100/-125)
After opening with a road draw, Liverpool has rattled off two consecutive wins. They’ll return home to face off against Aston Villa on Sunday morning. Kickoff is slated for 9:00 a.m. ET from Anfield in Liverpool.
I’m actually high on the Villans this season and I think they have a chance to earn a ticket to the European stage next season. However, I cannot back them on the road against a Liverpool squad that has aspirations to win the whole Premier League in 2023-2024. We know how dominant the Reds are at home solely based on the eye test.
If you need more than that, Flashscore has provided a trend stating Liverpool is 17-3-0 under Jurgen Klopp in home matches in August and September. Last year, Liverpool finished 13-5-1 at the hostile Anfield. I’m not overthinking this one and I’m laying the juice with the upward-trending Reds.
Bet: Liverpool Moneyline (-150)
Crystal Palace (-105) vs. Wolves (+310), DRAW (+255) | 2.5 (+115/-140)
A lot of people say that Crystal Palace is a perennial mid-tier team in the Premier League. I’d say those people are correct as the Eagles have finished between 10th and 15th every year dating back to 2013. While it may not always be flashy, Crystal Palace finds a way to stay afloat in the PL while remaining somewhat competitive.
The point that I’m trying to make is that Palace must win their home matches against lousy teams like Wolverhampton if they want to stay up. Sorry to all of the Wolves fans out there, but my crosshairs are on you guys to be relegated this campaign. The oddsmakers say that isn’t an outlandish take considering the Wanderers are just +300 to go down, which is the fifth-shortest odds in the league.
I just don’t know where the goals will come from for Wolverhampton this year. They’ve managed just two tallies over three matches, and one was a charity goal while trailing Brighton 4-0 a couple of weeks ago. Look for Palace to take care of business against a Wolves squad that’s in limbo right now. This one gets underway at 9:00 a.m. ET on Sunday from Selhurst Park in London.
Bet: Crystal Palace Moneyline (-105)
Arsenal (-135) vs. Manchester United (+340), DRAW (+320) | 3.5 (+125/-155)
The Sunday nightcap features a big-time battle between Arsenal and Manchester United. Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET from Emirates Stadium in London.
I cannot be the only one thinking this, but I have not been impressed with Manchester United at all this season. They barely eked out a 1-0 win against Wolverhampton on matchday one, got dominated 2-0 by Tottenham, and most recently, they were forced to erase a 2-0 home deficit to Nottingham Forest. They would go on to win that match 3-2, but the point is that they look flat.
I think the high-paced Gunners come out and mop the floor with the Red Devils on Sunday. Honestly, I think Arsenal may make a run at winning the Premier League this year. You can still find them at +650 over at DraftKings Sportsbook. They were already a powerhouse squad and they went out and added names like Declan Rice and Kai Havertz. I think this is a year that the Gunners actually make some noise. They should be able to collect three points against Erik ten Hag’s underwhelming unit.
Bet: Arsenal Moneyline (-135)
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